Barry Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
OSW
0 - 1
BAR
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
BAR
1 - 0
LLA
51%
23%
27%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
CWM
3 - 0
BAR
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
BAR
3 - 3
CAE
60%
20%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
CON
0 - 1
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2000 |
CEF
2 - 0
BAN
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2000 |
ABE
3 - 0
CEF
66%
19%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2000 |
CEF
2 - 1
LLA
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
POR
2 - 1
CEF
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
NEW
2 - 1
CEF
52%
24%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |