National League North . Jor. 34

Barrow vs Worcester City analysis

Barrow Worcester City
46 ELO 44
-13.9% Tilt 5.9%
2052º General ELO ranking 7836º
68º Country ELO ranking 389º
ELO win probability
52.1%
Barrow
24.9%
Draw
23%
Worcester City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
Barrow
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.9%
Win probability
Worcester City
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barrow
-16%
+19%
Worcester City

ELO progression

Barrow
Worcester City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barrow
Barrow
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2014
STO
Stockport County
2 - 2
Barrow
BAR
45%
24%
31%
47 44 3 0
01 Mar. 2014
COL
Colwyn Bay
1 - 2
Barrow
BAR
39%
25%
36%
47 44 3 0
22 Feb. 2014
BAR
Barrow
1 - 1
Oxford City
OXF
56%
24%
21%
47 39 8 0
18 Feb. 2014
GLO
Gloucester City
1 - 3
Barrow
BAR
29%
25%
46%
46 37 9 +1
08 Feb. 2014
BAR
Barrow
2 - 0
North Ferriby United
NOR
21%
24%
55%
44 56 12 +2

Matches

Worcester City
Worcester City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2014
WOR
Worcester City
2 - 1
Stalybridge Celtic
STA
53%
24%
24%
43 36 7 0
22 Feb. 2014
GAI
Gainsborough Trinity
2 - 1
Worcester City
WOR
46%
25%
29%
44 41 3 -1
18 Feb. 2014
WOR
Worcester City
0 - 1
AFC Telford United
AFC
34%
26%
40%
44 49 5 0
08 Feb. 2014
GUI
Guiseley
0 - 1
Worcester City
WOR
62%
21%
17%
44 50 6 0
28 Jan. 2014
WOR
Worcester City
3 - 1
Solihull Moors
SOL
31%
27%
43%
41 48 7 +3
X