Barrow vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
HIS
2 - 2
BAR
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
KID
1 - 2
BAR
48%
26%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 1
SAL
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
BAR
4 - 1
CRA
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
YOR
3 - 0
BAR
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
STE
1 - 0
YOR
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
GAT
0 - 1
STE
15%
23%
62%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
KID
0 - 2
STE
22%
26%
52%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
ALT
0 - 1
STE
19%
24%
57%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
STE
2 - 0
FOR
77%
15%
7%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |