Barrio Pilar vs Complutense Alcala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
57%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrio Pilar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
GAL
2 - 0
BPI
74%
16%
10%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
BPI
1 - 2
ALC
28%
26%
46%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
AVI
1 - 1
BPI
73%
16%
10%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
BPI
1 - 1
SAG
19%
23%
58%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
VLP
2 - 0
BPI
80%
14%
7%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Complutense Alcala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 0
RCA
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
DOS
1 - 2
CAL
23%
24%
54%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
GAL
4 - 1
CAL
42%
25%
32%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 2
ALC
62%
21%
18%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
AVI
2 - 2
CAL
41%
25%
34%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |