Barillas vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 1
BAR
76%
16%
8%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
HUE
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
AUR
2 - 1
BAR
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 2
LAG
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
SPD
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
PUE
2 - 1
NUE
54%
25%
22%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
NUE
5 - 0
DEP
21%
26%
54%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | +3 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
HUE
2 - 1
NUE
53%
24%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
NUE
2 - 0
AUR
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
NUE
1 - 3
LAG
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |