Barras vs Ríver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
COR
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
PIA
1 - 1
BAR
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 3
PAR
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 1
BAR
23%
22%
55%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
FLA
40%
27%
33%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
RIV
3 - 0
PIA
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
COR
1 - 0
RIV
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
RIV
3 - 0
FLA
53%
24%
22%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
4DE
2 - 1
RIV
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 0
CAI
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |