Barras vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
COR
2 - 3
BAR
26%
24%
51%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
PIA
4 - 2
BAR
44%
25%
32%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 0
PIC
52%
24%
25%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
RIV
2 - 0
BAR
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 1
PAR
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FLA
0 - 3
4DE
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
RIV
0 - 2
FLA
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
FLA
4 - 2
PAR
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PIA
0 - 0
FLA
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 1
PIC
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |