Piauiense Final Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Barras vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 0
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 0
RIV
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
PIA
1 - 2
BAR
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 1
FLA
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
RIV
0 - 0
BAR
48%
25%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 0
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
FLA
3 - 0
PIA
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
FLA
0 - 1
RIV
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 1
FLA
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
PIA
0 - 4
FLA
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |