Barras vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
FLA
0 - 2
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 3
PAR
34%
26%
41%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
PIC
1 - 0
BAR
41%
26%
34%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2011 |
RIV
1 - 0
BAR
49%
25%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 0
PIA
57%
24%
20%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
4DE
4 - 0
PIA
68%
19%
12%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 2
4DE
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
4DE
2 - 1
RIV
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
CAC
2 - 1
4DE
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2011 |
4DE
2 - 1
FLA
49%
24%
26%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |