Barracas Central vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
23.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
COL
0 - 1
BAR
33%
29%
39%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 0
AND
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
ACA
1 - 1
BAR
29%
29%
42%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 0
FLA
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2010 |
SAR
0 - 4
BAR
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
DEF
0 - 0
ARM
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
TEM
1 - 1
DEF
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
DEF
0 - 1
PLA
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 0
DEF
36%
30%
35%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
DEF
0 - 0
ITA
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |