Carioca 2 Round 15

Barra Mansa vs Quissamã analysis

Barra Mansa Quissamã
41 ELO 51
-5.6% Tilt -0.4%
24456º General ELO ranking 24458º
720º Country ELO ranking 722º
ELO win probability
26.4%
Barra Mansa
24.5%
Draw
49.1%
Quissamã

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
Barra Mansa
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
49.1%
Win probability
Quissamã
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Barra Mansa
Quissamã
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barra Mansa
Barra Mansa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jun. 2011
IFC
Imperial FC
2 - 1
Barra Mansa
BAR
37%
24%
39%
41 36 5 0
25 Jun. 2011
BAR
Barra Mansa
0 - 0
Tigres do Brasil
TIG
47%
24%
29%
41 41 0 0
22 Jun. 2011
BON
Bonsucesso
2 - 1
Barra Mansa
BAR
61%
21%
18%
41 49 8 0
18 Jun. 2011
TFC
Teresópolis FC
2 - 2
Barra Mansa
BAR
28%
24%
48%
42 32 10 -1
15 Jun. 2011
BAR
Barra Mansa
2 - 0
Serra Macaense
SER
58%
21%
20%
41 35 6 +1

Matches

Quissamã
Quissamã
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jun. 2011
QUI
Quissamã
2 - 0
Angra dos Reis
ANG
77%
15%
8%
51 31 20 0
25 Jun. 2011
QUI
Quissamã
3 - 3
Imperial FC
IFC
74%
17%
10%
51 36 15 0
22 Jun. 2011
TIG
Tigres do Brasil
0 - 1
Quissamã
QUI
32%
25%
44%
51 42 9 0
18 Jun. 2011
BON
Bonsucesso
0 - 0
Quissamã
QUI
43%
24%
33%
51 49 2 0
15 Jun. 2011
QUI
Quissamã
2 - 0
Teresópolis FC
TFC
76%
16%
9%
51 33 18 0