Carioca 2 Round 18

Barra Mansa vs Audax Rio analysis

Barra Mansa Audax Rio
35 ELO 47
-4.9% Tilt -2.3%
24520º General ELO ranking 5206º
722º Country ELO ranking 173º
ELO win probability
28.6%
Barra Mansa
24.6%
Draw
46.7%
Audax Rio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
Barra Mansa
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
46.7%
Win probability
Audax Rio
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barra Mansa
+22%
-42%
Audax Rio

ELO progression

Barra Mansa
Audax Rio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barra Mansa
Barra Mansa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jul. 2012
POR
Portuguesa RJ
2 - 1
Barra Mansa
BAR
47%
26%
27%
38 42 4 0
04 Jul. 2012
BAR
Barra Mansa
1 - 0
Céres
CER
33%
25%
41%
36 44 8 +2
30 Jun. 2012
SAM
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1 - 1
Barra Mansa
BAR
49%
23%
28%
36 38 2 0
27 Jun. 2012
BAR
Barra Mansa
2 - 3
São João da Barra
SAO
34%
26%
41%
37 44 7 -1
24 Jun. 2012
SER
Serra Macaense
1 - 1
Barra Mansa
BAR
37%
24%
39%
37 33 4 0

Matches

Audax Rio
Audax Rio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jul. 2012
AUD
Audax Rio
4 - 0
Tigres do Brasil
TIG
58%
22%
20%
45 38 7 0
04 Jul. 2012
AFC
Artsul FC
1 - 1
Audax Rio
AUD
33%
25%
42%
45 40 5 0
30 Jun. 2012
RBC
Rio Branco
1 - 2
Audax Rio
AUD
23%
24%
54%
45 33 12 0
27 Jun. 2012
AUD
Audax Rio
1 - 1
Portuguesa RJ
POR
55%
23%
22%
45 41 4 0
23 Jun. 2012
CER
Céres
2 - 0
Audax Rio
AUD
35%
25%
40%
46 42 4 -1