Baronie vs Gemert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baronie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
LIE
6 - 2
BAR
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 3
EVV
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
FCO
2 - 0
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 0
ACH
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
ARG
1 - 0
BAR
57%
24%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
GEM
1 - 2
JVC
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
AFC
3 - 1
GEM
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
GEM
1 - 1
HOL
36%
26%
39%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
VVS
2 - 1
GEM
49%
25%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
GEM
0 - 1
DET
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |