Baronie vs Gemert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baronie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
DEU
1 - 4
BAR
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
BAR
2 - 2
PAP
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
SVP
0 - 1
BAR
29%
25%
47%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
BAR
1 - 1
EVV
56%
22%
23%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
JVC
2 - 0
BAR
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
GEM
2 - 0
MEE
71%
17%
12%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
SCH
0 - 1
GEM
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
GEL
1 - 2
GEM
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
GEM
6 - 0
DEU
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
PAP
1 - 1
GEM
25%
24%
52%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -1 |