Baronie vs Dongen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baronie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
GRO
2 - 1
BAR
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 5
AFC
15%
21%
64%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
HOL
1 - 1
BAR
60%
23%
17%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 1
VVS
31%
26%
43%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
GEM
2 - 2
BAR
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
DON
2 - 1
NUE
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
MEE
0 - 1
DON
40%
23%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
DON
2 - 4
DES
66%
19%
16%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
DON
2 - 0
SCH
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
DON
3 - 1
JUL
50%
22%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |