Barnsley vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 6
CHA
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAR
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CRY
0 - 0
BAR
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 0
LEI
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
SHW
2 - 1
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BBU
2 - 0
DER
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
DER
0 - 1
IPS
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
LEE
1 - 2
DER
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
DER
3 - 0
BRI
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
DER
2 - 1
LEI
37%
27%
37%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |