Barnet vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 1
ROC
27%
24%
49%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
BRA
3 - 3
BAR
59%
23%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
STF
2 - 2
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 1
EXE
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 1
WYC
31%
27%
41%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
SUT
0 - 1
NOT
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
NOT
0 - 1
BCF
30%
28%
42%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
NOT
1 - 2
ROC
24%
26%
50%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
CHE
3 - 1
NOT
56%
24%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
GIL
2 - 2
NOT
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |