Barnet vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 1
STA
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
BCF
2 - 0
BAR
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 1
BOU
37%
27%
37%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
STA
2 - 2
BAR
49%
24%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
CHE
5 - 1
BAR
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
CRE
0 - 0
LIN
60%
22%
19%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2009 |
CHE
2 - 3
CRE
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
CRE
2 - 1
BUR
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 2
CRE
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
CRE
1 - 2
MOR
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -2 |