Barmbek-Uhlenhorst vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
48.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barmbek-Uhlenhorst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1974 |
ARB
7 - 1
BAR
62%
23%
15%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
BAR
1 - 2
HAN
21%
28%
51%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
BAR
2 - 2
WAB
26%
26%
49%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1974 |
BAR
1 - 1
KFC
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1974 |
BAR
0 - 1
FCM
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1975 |
KÖL
0 - 2
ARB
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
OSN
0 - 2
KÖL
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1974 |
KÖL
2 - 0
ISC
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1974 |
HAN
2 - 0
KÖL
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
WAB
4 - 2
KÖL
50%
25%
26%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |