Bahrain vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
60.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
27%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
BHR
0 - 1
PLE
82%
13%
5%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
QAT
0 - 0
BHR
50%
26%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
BHR
1 - 1
IRN
22%
26%
53%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
KWT
0 - 1
BHR
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
IRN
6 - 0
BHR
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
ENG
1 - 0
SWE
71%
18%
11%
|
93 | 97 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
DEN
2 - 0
SWE
50%
25%
25%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
SWE
3 - 2
NED
23%
25%
52%
|
93 | 98 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
FIN
1 - 2
SWE
26%
26%
48%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
SMR
0 - 5
SWE
15%
23%
62%
|
92 | 38 | 54 | 0 |