Barco vs Portonovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CEL
1 - 1
BAR
19%
23%
59%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 0
PON
83%
13%
5%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ARE
1 - 4
BAR
32%
25%
44%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 1
CDV
57%
23%
20%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PON
0 - 2
BAR
11%
19%
70%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Portonovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
MON
63%
20%
16%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
POR
44%
25%
32%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
GON
56%
23%
21%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
POR
2 - 0
CEL
68%
19%
13%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PON
0 - 3
POR
21%
24%
55%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |