Barcelona vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.1%
10.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
ATM
2 - 2
FCB
43%
23%
34%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1955 |
FCB
5 - 2
CEL
87%
8%
5%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
ESP
2 - 4
FCB
42%
24%
34%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
FCB
5 - 2
ALA
92%
6%
3%
|
89 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1954 |
SEV
0 - 2
FCB
49%
22%
29%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
VCF
3 - 2
ATH
65%
17%
18%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1955 |
RAC
3 - 2
VCF
39%
23%
39%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
VCF
0 - 2
MAL
86%
9%
5%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
UDL
1 - 0
VCF
25%
23%
52%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1954 |
VCF
1 - 3
RMA
59%
19%
22%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |