Barcelona vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.5%
5-0
8.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.3%
4-0
12.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
16%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.8%
2.1%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
DEP
4 - 5
FCB
7%
16%
78%
|
98 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FCB
2 - 2
RMA
53%
21%
26%
|
98 | 98 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
SLB
0 - 2
FCB
14%
19%
67%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SEV
2 - 3
FCB
14%
20%
67%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FCB
2 - 0
GRA
93%
6%
2%
|
98 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
STM
0 - 5
CEL
23%
25%
52%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 0
HOM
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
SPA
2 - 3
CEL
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MHE
0 - 2
CEL
31%
26%
44%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
CEL
4 - 1
RAI
80%
14%
6%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | -1 |