Barcelona vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
22.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
UDL
2 - 1
FCB
42%
30%
29%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1973 |
FCB
2 - 0
REC
87%
10%
4%
|
84 | 44 | 40 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
FCB
3 - 1
SPO
69%
20%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
CAS
4 - 0
FCB
36%
30%
34%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
FCB
2 - 0
CEL
72%
19%
9%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
ATM
4 - 2
BUR
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
ATM
2 - 1
UDL
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1973 |
ATM
1 - 0
ESP
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
SPO
2 - 3
ATM
39%
29%
31%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
ATM
1 - 0
CAS
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |