Barcelona EC vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
69.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
FLA
2 - 0
BAR
74%
16%
10%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 2
MAU
18%
21%
61%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 1
MAU
17%
21%
62%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
OSA
2 - 0
BAR
72%
17%
12%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 2
MFC
14%
18%
68%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
COL
2 - 1
PAU
13%
18%
70%
|
39 | 11 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
PAU
1 - 1
FLA
55%
23%
23%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
VEL
1 - 0
PAU
61%
23%
16%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
PAU
1 - 1
LIN
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
DES
2 - 3
PAU
67%
20%
14%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |