Barbate vs La Palma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
36.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
BCA
2 - 0
BAR
86%
9%
5%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
AYA
1 - 0
BAR
71%
17%
13%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
BAR
0 - 2
ALG
26%
24%
50%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
JER
2 - 0
BAR
84%
10%
6%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1962 |
ARC
5 - 0
BAR
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
La Palma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
LAP
2 - 0
RIO
61%
20%
18%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
LAP
3 - 1
BAL
36%
24%
39%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
XER
1 - 0
LAP
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
LAP
2 - 0
UDT
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
POR
4 - 0
LAP
68%
18%
15%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |