Barbados vs Aruba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
BRB
0 - 1
DOM
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
BRB
1 - 0
DMA
67%
19%
13%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
BRB
1 - 2
BMU
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
BMU
2 - 1
BRB
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
TTO
4 - 0
BRB
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
DMA
3 - 2
ABW
56%
21%
23%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ABW
2 - 2
DOM
9%
16%
75%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
SUR
0 - 0
ABW
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2011 |
LCA
4 - 2
ABW
45%
23%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
ABW
4 - 2
LCA
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |