Barbados vs U.S. Virgin Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.3%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
SLV
3 - 0
BRB
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
GUY
3 - 0
BRB
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
BRB
0 - 2
CUB
22%
25%
54%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
BRB
0 - 0
CUB
21%
24%
55%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
BRB
2 - 2
JAM
8%
17%
76%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
U.S. Virgin Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
VIR
0 - 5
CUW
7%
13%
81%
|
7 | 58 | 51 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
VIR
0 - 8
CAN
2%
7%
91%
|
7 | 77 | 70 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
CUW
7 - 0
VIR
86%
12%
3%
|
9 | 48 | 39 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 7
GUY
6%
16%
78%
|
10 | 54 | 44 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 2
GRD
8%
16%
77%
|
11 | 50 | 39 | -1 |