Barbadás vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbadás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
BOU
47%
26%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
RIB
1 - 2
BAR
29%
25%
46%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
4 - 1
BAR
61%
22%
17%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
BER
3 - 3
BAR
29%
27%
43%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
DEP
36%
25%
39%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 1
RIB
66%
19%
14%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
CHO
36%
25%
39%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CHO
0 - 0
BER
59%
22%
19%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 0
CHO
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CHO
0 - 1
CER
52%
24%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |