Barbadás vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbadás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
RAP
2 - 0
BAR
28%
24%
48%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
EST
0 - 1
BAR
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
BAR
3 - 3
POR
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
CAS
4 - 2
BAR
38%
23%
39%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAM
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CHO
1 - 2
CRU
52%
24%
24%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
CHO
2 - 0
ARO
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
CHO
5 - 0
TOM
62%
22%
16%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
PON
1 - 2
CHO
51%
24%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 0
CHO
26%
25%
49%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |