Barbadás vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
34.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbadás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 2
BAR
53%
24%
24%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 2
ATO
50%
24%
26%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PON
2 - 3
BAR
61%
22%
17%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
CEL
56%
24%
20%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
CRU
3 - 1
BAR
39%
26%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ARO
3 - 1
CAM
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
POR
1 - 4
ARO
49%
24%
26%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ARO
5 - 1
APE
86%
11%
4%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
RIB
3 - 1
ARO
36%
24%
40%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ARO
4 - 0
VER
38%
26%
36%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |