Barbadás vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
29.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbadás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
BAR
29%
24%
47%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
TOM
2 - 5
BAR
29%
24%
47%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 0
PON
55%
23%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ARE
1 - 2
BAR
42%
24%
34%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
BAR
6 - 3
RIB
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ARO
2 - 1
TOM
74%
16%
11%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
PON
3 - 0
ARO
34%
24%
43%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ARO
1 - 2
ARE
65%
19%
17%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
RIB
2 - 3
ARO
28%
23%
50%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ARO
1 - 1
COV
84%
11%
5%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |