Potiguar Round 3

Baraunas vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis

Baraunas Potiguar Mossoró
45 ELO 49
-5.5% Tilt -4.6%
8545º General ELO ranking 6223º
347º Country ELO ranking 237º
ELO win probability
39.4%
Baraunas
25.2%
Draw
35.4%
Potiguar Mossoró

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
Baraunas
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
35.4%
Win probability
Potiguar Mossoró
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Baraunas
+6%
-33%
Potiguar Mossoró

ELO progression

Baraunas
Potiguar Mossoró
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Baraunas
Baraunas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 2010
ABC
ABC
4 - 0
Baraunas
BAR
69%
18%
13%
48 57 9 0
14 Mar. 2010
BAR
Baraunas
1 - 1
ASSU
ASS
42%
25%
32%
48 50 2 0
28 Feb. 2010
ALE
Alecrim
2 - 1
Baraunas
BAR
45%
25%
31%
48 46 2 0
25 Feb. 2010
BAR
Baraunas
2 - 0
Santa Cruz RN
SAN
44%
25%
32%
47 48 1 +1
21 Feb. 2010
ARN
América RN
0 - 0
Baraunas
BAR
71%
17%
12%
47 62 15 0

Matches

Potiguar Mossoró
Potiguar Mossoró
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 2010
POT
Potiguar Mossoró
2 - 1
Potyguar
ACD
47%
24%
29%
47 48 1 0
14 Mar. 2010
ARN
América RN
1 - 1
Potiguar Mossoró
POT
67%
19%
15%
47 60 13 0
28 Feb. 2010
POT
Potiguar Mossoró
0 - 2
ASSU
ASS
47%
24%
29%
48 49 1 -1
25 Feb. 2010
PAY
Paysandu
3 - 1
Potiguar Mossoró
POT
65%
19%
16%
48 58 10 0
21 Feb. 2010
POT
Potiguar Mossoró
3 - 2
Santa Cruz RN
SAN
45%
24%
31%
48 49 1 0