Baraunas vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
52.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
POR
1 - 1
BAR
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
ICA
3 - 1
BAR
64%
21%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 2
ICA
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2006 |
BAR
1 - 2
POR
66%
20%
15%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
BOT
3 - 1
BAR
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
BOT
2 - 2
ICA
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
POR
2 - 0
BOT
20%
23%
57%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
BOT
2 - 3
POR
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | -3 |
| 20 Jul. 2006 |
ICA
2 - 0
BOT
23%
24%
54%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
BOT
3 - 1
BAR
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |