Baraunas vs ASSU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
POT
0 - 1
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 2
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PAL
3 - 1
BAR
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
6 - 1
CCP
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ABC
1 - 0
BAR
76%
16%
9%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
ASSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ASS
0 - 1
ABC
21%
23%
57%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ASS
3 - 0
COR
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ASS
2 - 2
SAN
35%
25%
41%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
ARN
5 - 0
ASS
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ASS
3 - 3
PAL
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |