Barakaldo vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
AMU
0 - 0
BAR
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
BAR
0 - 0
LOG
64%
21%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
LOG
0 - 0
BAR
55%
24%
20%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
BAR
2 - 1
ALF
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
RUN
2 - 0
BAR
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
AVI
1 - 1
LOG
24%
28%
48%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
ALF
1 - 1
AVI
57%
23%
19%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
RUN
2 - 0
AVI
67%
21%
13%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
AVI
0 - 0
GIM
28%
30%
42%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
CDO
3 - 0
AVI
63%
22%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |