Barakaldo vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
32.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 0
ROQ
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
CUL
2 - 0
BAR
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
BAR
2 - 0
GIM
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
GIR
2 - 0
BAR
55%
24%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 0
GIR
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
LUG
2 - 1
ATH
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
LUG
0 - 3
RUN
47%
25%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
LUG
0 - 1
UDF
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
LAN
1 - 2
LUG
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
LUG
3 - 1
ULP
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |