Barakaldo vs Ciudad de Santiago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
LUG
1 - 0
BAR
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 0
CUL
39%
29%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
BAR
4 - 1
VAL
56%
26%
18%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
RUN
0 - 1
BAR
67%
21%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2008 |
ATH
3 - 1
BAR
39%
29%
32%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ciudad de Santiago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CSA
1 - 0
ATH
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 0
CSA
45%
27%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
SPB
0 - 1
CSA
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
CSA
2 - 1
RAC
46%
24%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
DEP
1 - 1
CSA
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |