Barakaldo vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
28.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
PON
0 - 0
BAR
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 0
CDG
44%
28%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
RSO
0 - 2
BAR
40%
29%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 0
SES
48%
28%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
LEM
0 - 0
BAR
46%
29%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CEL
1 - 1
ATH
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 1
CEL
29%
29%
42%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
CEL
1 - 2
SPB
62%
22%
17%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
RAC
0 - 0
CEL
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CEL
2 - 0
DEP
53%
25%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |