Barakaldo vs CD Touring analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
3º
1º
29
9º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
57.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
46% | |
|
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
15º
|
82.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 5
BAR
14%
20%
66%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
CDU
78%
15%
8%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CDP
0 - 1
BAR
10%
18%
72%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
AFT
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 2
ATH
22%
24%
55%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CD Touring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CDT
0 - 0
DEU
33%
23%
44%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CDT
1 - 1
AUR
42%
23%
35%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 1
CDT
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CDT
2 - 0
CDU
31%
25%
44%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CDP
3 - 1
CDT
40%
26%
34%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |