Bangu vs Madureira RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
MAC
2 - 1
BAN
36%
25%
38%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
BAN
0 - 2
VAS
13%
21%
67%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
RES
0 - 3
BAN
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
VOL
1 - 2
BAN
43%
25%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 0
AME
53%
25%
23%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
MAD
0 - 2
VOL
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
FLA
2 - 0
MAD
86%
11%
4%
|
52 | 86 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
MAD
1 - 2
BOA
36%
24%
40%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
VAS
2 - 2
MAD
83%
12%
4%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
MAD
1 - 4
BOT
12%
20%
69%
|
52 | 81 | 29 | 0 |