Bangu vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.3%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.1%
76.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.7%
0-2
17.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.5%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
BAN
0 - 0
BOT
9%
20%
71%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
BOA
2 - 0
BAN
63%
22%
16%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
BAN
0 - 0
MIR
19%
27%
54%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
CAS
3 - 0
BAN
53%
26%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BAN
0 - 3
POR
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
FLA
0 - 1
FLU
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
FLU
0 - 3
POR
84%
12%
4%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
FLU
2 - 0
FOR
56%
25%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
FLU
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
CEA
1 - 3
FLU
40%
27%
34%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |