Bangor vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
BAN
4 - 0
WAR
77%
15%
9%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 3
BAN
29%
24%
48%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ARC
1 - 4
BAN
17%
22%
62%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
BAN
3 - 1
DUN
61%
22%
18%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
NEW
4 - 5
BAN
14%
21%
65%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
BRF
0 - 1
INS
30%
21%
49%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ARD
0 - 0
INS
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
INS
4 - 0
NEY
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 2
INS
43%
25%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
INS
1 - 3
BAL
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |