Bangor vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
BAN
35%
25%
40%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
BAN
5 - 0
KNO
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 4
BAN
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
BAN
4 - 0
BAL
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 2
BAN
35%
25%
41%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
HAR
0 - 1
INS
53%
24%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
INS
1 - 2
POR
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
KNO
0 - 3
INS
12%
19%
69%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
INS
1 - 3
LIN
17%
21%
62%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
INS
2 - 0
NEY
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |