Bangor vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2008 |
DUN
1 - 1
BAN
40%
26%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2008 |
BAN
1 - 2
CAR
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2008 |
TOB
1 - 2
BAN
38%
25%
37%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
HAR
4 - 3
BAN
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2008 |
COA
1 - 2
BAN
23%
25%
51%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
INS
1 - 1
CRU
32%
27%
42%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
INS
0 - 2
LIS
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
INS
1 - 1
BAL
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
DUN
0 - 1
INS
66%
20%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
ARC
1 - 1
INS
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |