Bangor vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
DUN
1 - 2
BAN
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
BAN
5 - 0
CAR
48%
24%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
BAN
3 - 2
LAR
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
ARD
1 - 1
BAN
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
BAN
3 - 1
ARC
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
INS
1 - 2
LAR
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
ARD
2 - 0
INS
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
INS
3 - 3
ARC
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2000 |
LIM
3 - 0
INS
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
INS
1 - 2
LIS
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -2 |