Bangor City vs Neath Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LLA
2 - 1
BAN
58%
21%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BAN
3 - 1
POR
76%
15%
9%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 2
BAN
18%
22%
60%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
BAN
4 - 0
NEW
80%
14%
7%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
BAN
17%
21%
63%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Neath Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
ABE
1 - 1
NEA
19%
24%
57%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
NEA
3 - 1
PRE
63%
20%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
POR
1 - 2
NEA
30%
27%
44%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
NEA
4 - 0
BAL
74%
17%
10%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 4
NEA
25%
25%
50%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |