Bangor City vs Conwy Borough FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 3
BAN
57%
22%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CEF
2 - 2
BAN
41%
24%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
BAL
3 - 0
BAN
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
BAN
2 - 1
POR
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2015 |
BAN
0 - 3
BAL
25%
24%
51%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Conwy Borough FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CON
1 - 2
GUI
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
DEN
1 - 1
CON
22%
22%
56%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
CON
5 - 1
RHY
86%
10%
4%
|
41 | 13 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 4
CON
25%
22%
53%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +2 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
CON
0 - 0
POR
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |