Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangladesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
BTN
0 - 3
BGD
28%
24%
49%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
BGD
1 - 3
MDV
26%
26%
48%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2015 |
AFG
4 - 0
BGD
59%
22%
18%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
BGD
0 - 4
AUS
8%
19%
73%
|
39 | 86 | 47 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
TJK
5 - 0
BGD
73%
18%
9%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2015 |
AFG
5 - 0
LKA
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2015 |
IND
2 - 0
LKA
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
NPL
0 - 1
LKA
55%
24%
21%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
BTN
2 - 1
LKA
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
LKA
0 - 1
BTN
64%
20%
17%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |