Bangladesh vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
73%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
16.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.6%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangladesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
TJK
5 - 0
BGD
73%
18%
9%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
KGZ
2 - 0
BGD
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
BGD
0 - 4
JOR
8%
18%
73%
|
42 | 74 | 32 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
AUS
5 - 0
BGD
85%
12%
3%
|
42 | 86 | 44 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MYS
0 - 0
BGD
68%
21%
12%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
AUS
3 - 0
KGZ
91%
7%
2%
|
86 | 46 | 40 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
JOR
2 - 0
AUS
20%
26%
54%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
TJK
0 - 3
AUS
8%
18%
74%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
AUS
5 - 0
BGD
85%
12%
3%
|
86 | 42 | 44 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
KGZ
1 - 2
AUS
8%
17%
75%
|
86 | 45 | 41 | 0 |